5:01 AM
Tropical Storm Gustav Reinvigorates; TD 8 Forms
judersonservices
Tropical storm Gustav proves to be an opportunistic tropical cyclone once again, by effectually taking advantage of the maximum diurnal phase this morning. The substantial temperature gradient during maximum enhanced the instability, and thus it is more convenient for thunderstorms to form. The warm air that was raised from the thunderstorms diverges at apex altitudes. Consequently, the atmospheric pressure drops to 988 MB (As Of 5AM), while the pressure of its surroundings remains almost constant. This makes the pressure gradient steeper, and wind velocity will likely increase in the advisory. This is exactly what I predicted in previous my entry from yesterday afternoon. So yes, by closely analyzing the environmental conditions, a forecaster can predict a storm with higher efficiency. Tropical Storm Gustav is temporarily moving southwest as of 5AM EDT, and further strengthening is possible as it moves across some of the highest SSTs in the Atlantic. Residents in the Gulf Of Mexico monitor the progress of this tropical cyclone.
Invest 95L has been upgraded to tropical depression number 8, with winds sustained at 35 MPH with higher gust, and is moving west-northwest about 5 MPH. According to satellite imagery, this system has a robust outflow, which indicates the efficacy of its low level convergence, and upper level divergence. An anticyclone will build over it and steer back west, and maybe even west-southwest depending on the potency of that ridge. Residents in Florida should closely monitor this.
I will post a more detailed update this afternoon.
Invest 95L has been upgraded to tropical depression number 8, with winds sustained at 35 MPH with higher gust, and is moving west-northwest about 5 MPH. According to satellite imagery, this system has a robust outflow, which indicates the efficacy of its low level convergence, and upper level divergence. An anticyclone will build over it and steer back west, and maybe even west-southwest depending on the potency of that ridge. Residents in Florida should closely monitor this.
I will post a more detailed update this afternoon.