11:15 AM
The tropical Atlantic continues to remain quiet, and no significant tropical cyclone development is expected over the next 48 hours. Nevertheless, there are a couple areas that need to be monitored closely over the next couple of days.
A well defined area of low pressure in the vicinity of the Cape Verde Islands is moving west-northwest at 17 MPH. This system has been weakening since it had moved into the cooler waters over the extreme eastern Atlantic. The sea surface temperatures are relatively cool in these areas because colder water from the northern regions of the Atlantic is descending in that area. Consequently for the time being, the likelihood of this system developing are low until lake this weekend. This system will have to be monitored closely despite the fact that it is a feeble storm due to the fact that environmental conditions is expected to become more favorable.
Another area that needs to be monitored is an open wave 350 miles west of the Lesser Antilles. Numerous vigorous sporadic thunderstorm activities is incessantly flaring up over this system, and that indicates that plenty of warm air is rising. Upper level winds are currently unfavorable for tropical cyclone development, however, are expected to become favorable development. The strong upper level winds despite being somewhat unfavorable for this system to develop, is causing the rising air from this system to diverge at higher altitudes. This is the primary reason why this system has flared so much convection during diurnal minimum. As wind shear decreases, it will be more convenient for this system to start rotating and eventually develop. However these weak tropical waves can be very unpredictable, thus, the best thing to do now is watch it closely.
A well defined area of low pressure in the vicinity of the Cape Verde Islands is moving west-northwest at 17 MPH. This system has been weakening since it had moved into the cooler waters over the extreme eastern Atlantic. The sea surface temperatures are relatively cool in these areas because colder water from the northern regions of the Atlantic is descending in that area. Consequently for the time being, the likelihood of this system developing are low until lake this weekend. This system will have to be monitored closely despite the fact that it is a feeble storm due to the fact that environmental conditions is expected to become more favorable.
Another area that needs to be monitored is an open wave 350 miles west of the Lesser Antilles. Numerous vigorous sporadic thunderstorm activities is incessantly flaring up over this system, and that indicates that plenty of warm air is rising. Upper level winds are currently unfavorable for tropical cyclone development, however, are expected to become favorable development. The strong upper level winds despite being somewhat unfavorable for this system to develop, is causing the rising air from this system to diverge at higher altitudes. This is the primary reason why this system has flared so much convection during diurnal minimum. As wind shear decreases, it will be more convenient for this system to start rotating and eventually develop. However these weak tropical waves can be very unpredictable, thus, the best thing to do now is watch it closely.