9:28 PM
Sporadic robust showers and thunderstorm active associated with a tropical wave about 150 miles south of Hispaniola. This system is currently moving towards the west at about 20 miles per hour, and is expected to move generally west-northwest later on. Invest 94L is moving into a more convective environment ever the next couple of days, as wind shear will decrease, sea surface temperatures will increase, and is slowly moving away from South America. Due to its low latitude, invest 94L had a difficult time of taking advantage of the diurnal maximum phase last night, as it was pulling cooler stable air from south America due to the fact that it was too close to it. Indeed, 94L will have to be watch closely over the next couple days as it will slowly develop, specifically the individuals who live from the Bay of Campeche to the Gulf of Mexico. The GFDL model forecast 94L to strengthen into a dynamic tropical cyclone and approach Louisiana next week. Nonetheless, this highly inaccurate because forecasts that far out is like a needle in a haystack.
An area of disturbed weather located in the Caribbean is in association with numerous showers and thunderstorm. The chances of this system becoming a depression are below 20 percent due to the fact that it will make landfall soon.
An area of low pressure located just east of Jacksonville will also have to be watched for further development.
The GFS model continues to pinpoint a tropical depression forming beyond 180 hours from now off the African coast. This area will also have to be watched.
$$
Forecaster Juderson
An area of disturbed weather located in the Caribbean is in association with numerous showers and thunderstorm. The chances of this system becoming a depression are below 20 percent due to the fact that it will make landfall soon.
An area of low pressure located just east of Jacksonville will also have to be watched for further development.
The GFS model continues to pinpoint a tropical depression forming beyond 180 hours from now off the African coast. This area will also have to be watched.
$$
Forecaster Juderson